Notts County vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
WBA
2 - 1
NOT
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 2
ARS
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
0 - 1
NOT
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1911 |
SUN
3 - 0
BBU
64%
20%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
MUD
5 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
PNE
0 - 2
SUN
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |