Notts County vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
NOT
0 - 3
SHE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
BCF
0 - 0
NOT
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
NOT
1 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
MUD
0 - 0
NOT
73%
16%
10%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
SUN
1 - 1
PNE
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
MID
1 - 0
SUN
48%
23%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
SUN
4 - 0
TOT
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
SUN
3 - 1
BRI
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |