Notts County vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
TOT
3 - 1
NOT
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
NOT
4 - 1
BHA
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 2
NTT
36%
28%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
MID
3 - 0
NOT
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1982 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOT
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
STO
2 - 1
WOL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
IPS
2 - 0
STO
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1982 |
LIV
2 - 0
STO
75%
16%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
STO
0 - 1
SUN
59%
23%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
SOU
4 - 3
STO
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |