Notts County vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
MUD
0 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
BOL
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
ASV
2 - 1
NOT
85%
9%
5%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
WOL
6 - 1
NOT
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1906 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1906 |
ASV
1 - 0
STO
83%
10%
6%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
STO
0 - 3
BRI
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
STO
0 - 2
ASV
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
LIV
1 - 0
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1906 |
NEW
5 - 0
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |