Notts County vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 1
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 2
NOT
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NOT
4 - 2
BRA
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CRE
1 - 0
NOT
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
NOT
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
EXE
0 - 0
STF
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STF
2 - 1
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BPO
4 - 0
STF
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
STF
3 - 2
WAL
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STF
3 - 2
REA
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |