Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
COL
4 - 1
NOT
52%
24%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
4 - 1
BPO
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
TRA
4 - 0
NOT
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
RUS
2 - 1
NOT
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SHW
1 - 1
BRE
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
GRI
2 - 0
SHW
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SHW
2 - 1
BHA
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
STO
1 - 0
SHW
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
SHW
0 - 2
BOU
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |