Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
SHW
0 - 0
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 1
NOT
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
SHE
3 - 0
NOT
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 0
BUR
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
SHW
0 - 0
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
SHW
1 - 3
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
MID
3 - 0
SHW
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
MUD
0 - 0
SHW
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
SHW
0 - 1
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |