Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
NOT
4 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 1
BOL
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 0
BIR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
0 - 0
NOT
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 1
EVE
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHW
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1907 |
SHW
6 - 0
ARS
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
SHW
2 - 3
SUN
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
SHW
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |