Notts County vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 1
PNE
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 0
NOT
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 1
LEY
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
CUM
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 1
NOT
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SCU
1 - 2
COV
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 0
SCU
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
SCU
1 - 0
STE
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SCU
1 - 2
HAR
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
YEO
3 - 0
SCU
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |