Notts County vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 1
NOT
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NOT
4 - 1
STA
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
WYC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
COL
4 - 2
NOT
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 2
NOT
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
SCU
0 - 1
AFC
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SCU
0 - 2
HAR
63%
20%
16%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
SCU
41%
24%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 0
SCU
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCU
4 - 2
TRA
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |