Notts County vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
4 - 2
NOT
84%
13%
4%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 1
STE
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NOT
2 - 4
POS
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 2
FLE
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ASV
3 - 0
ROT
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 2
STF
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 2
ROT
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 0
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 1
SHW
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |