Notts County vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
STO
1 - 0
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
NOT
0 - 1
WYC
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
OLD
4 - 1
NOT
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
NOT
1 - 0
POS
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
COL
0 - 1
NOT
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
REA
1 - 3
SWI
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 0
REA
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
REA
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
REA
1 - 1
BCF
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
BOU
1 - 0
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |