Notts County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 0
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 1
BCF
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
PNE
1 - 1
BCF
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 1
PNE
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
PNE
4 - 0
LIV
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 1
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
PNE
0 - 1
SHE
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |