Notts County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 2
SUN
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
BBU
4 - 1
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOT
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1923 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
NOT
1 - 2
ARS
38%
26%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
PNE
5 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
PNE
0 - 1
BBU
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1923 |
BBU
2 - 0
PNE
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
MID
1 - 2
PNE
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |