Notts County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
TOT
1 - 3
NOT
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 1
BCF
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1909 |
SHE
2 - 2
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1909 |
BRI
3 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 0
SHW
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
PNE
1 - 0
MID
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 0
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1909 |
BCF
3 - 1
PNE
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
PNE
3 - 0
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
SHW
4 - 1
PNE
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |