Notts County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 1
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
NOT
5 - 1
MAC
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
MID
1 - 2
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 4
NEW
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1909 |
PNE
1 - 1
MID
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
PNE
4 - 1
SHW
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
PNE
0 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
PNE
0 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
LEI
0 - 0
PNE
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |