Notts County vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
MID
2 - 0
NOT
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAC
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
BCF
3 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
NOT
2 - 2
SHW
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
PNE
3 - 1
BRI
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
LIV
6 - 1
PNE
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
PNE
2 - 0
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
NEW
2 - 1
PNE
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
DER
3 - 0
PNE
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |