Notts County vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 1
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 0
NOT
58%
23%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 0
YEO
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 2
PLY
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
SHE
5 - 1
NOT
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
OPA
0 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 1
STE
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 1
OPA
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 3
OPA
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
OPA
0 - 0
YEO
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |