Notts County vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
YEO
1 - 1
NOT
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 1
CHE
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
STE
1 - 1
NOT
42%
24%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 1
NOT
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 2
HER
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 0
OXF
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
OXF
3 - 2
WEA
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CHM
1 - 2
OXF
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
OXF
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |