Notts County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
BHA
1 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
POR
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
HAR
4 - 0
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
0 - 0
SHW
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
COL
4 - 1
NOT
52%
24%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
OLD
2 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 2
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
4 - 1
PLY
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
STO
1 - 1
OLD
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |