Notts County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
NOT
4 - 0
PLY
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1991 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
MIL
1 - 2
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1991 |
NOT
1 - 0
WAT
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
BHA
0 - 0
NOT
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
IPS
1 - 2
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
OLD
2 - 1
BRI
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1991 |
CHA
1 - 1
OLD
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
NEW
3 - 2
OLD
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1991 |
LEI
0 - 0
OLD
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |