Notts County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
BRA
3 - 1
NOT
58%
21%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
NOT
3 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1914 |
SHE
1 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
NOT
5 - 1
MID
44%
25%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
MID
1 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
OLD
3 - 2
BBU
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
BOL
2 - 0
OLD
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
OLD
0 - 0
MAC
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
OLD
6 - 2
BRA
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
BRA
1 - 1
OLD
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |