Notts County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 0
NOT
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1913 |
NOT
0 - 1
SHE
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1913 |
MID
1 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
BOL
0 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1913 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1913 |
OLD
2 - 2
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1913 |
OLD
1 - 0
MID
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1913 |
TOT
1 - 0
OLD
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1913 |
EVE
2 - 3
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 0
OLD
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |