Notts County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 0
NOT
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
TOT
3 - 0
NOT
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 2
NEW
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 0
SHW
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1911 |
OLD
3 - 0
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 0
BBU
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
PNE
1 - 1
OLD
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 0
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
MID
1 - 2
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |