Notts County vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1991 |
SHE
1 - 3
NOT
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
COV
1 - 0
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
NOT
1 - 2
LIV
15%
21%
64%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1991 |
NOT
2 - 1
SHW
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
WHU
0 - 2
NOT
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
NOR
1 - 0
SHW
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
NOR
2 - 1
WHU
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
MUD
3 - 0
NOR
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1991 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOR
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
NOR
0 - 1
TOT
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |