Notts County vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 1
NOT
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
4 - 2
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 0
NOT
31%
25%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 1
OPA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 0
LUT
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 1
NEW
64%
23%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
YEO
53%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 1
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |