Notts County vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
2 - 0
NOT
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
WHU
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
BBU
0 - 2
NOT
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
NEW
0 - 1
BOL
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
1 - 2
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
TOT
3 - 0
NEW
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
NEW
0 - 1
WBA
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |