Notts County vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 1
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 0
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
LIV
3 - 0
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
BBU
2 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
0 - 0
BBU
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
NEW
0 - 1
BOL
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |