Notts County vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
0 - 0
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
3 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
3 - 1
SHE
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
EVE
4 - 0
NOT
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
NEW
2 - 1
BBU
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1915 |
NEW
1 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
BOL
0 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
WBA
2 - 0
NEW
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
NEW
2 - 0
MUD
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |