Notts County vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
NOT
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 2
STA
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
WYC
2 - 4
NOT
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
CUM
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |