Notts County vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 1
KET
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 2
WYC
26%
29%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
DAG
6 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 4
NOT
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SUT
0 - 1
NOT
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 3
CHE
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
BOU
0 - 0
MOR
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
EXE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 2
MOR
33%
28%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 1
GRI
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |