Notts County vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
LIV
6 - 0
NOT
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 3
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
BCF
0 - 0
NOT
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 1
PNE
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
MID
0 - 2
BRI
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
SHW
3 - 2
MID
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
MID
0 - 0
ARS
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
SUN
0 - 0
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
MID
0 - 2
EVE
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |