Notts County vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
NOT
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ASV
5 - 3
NOT
79%
16%
5%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 1
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
OXF
3 - 1
NOT
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 2
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 2
MAN
46%
28%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
OXF
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
STA
1 - 0
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 2
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SHW
4 - 1
MAN
75%
18%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |