Notts County vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 1
NOT
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 2
POS
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 2
WYC
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
RUS
1 - 0
NOT
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
GRI
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 2
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 2
WRE
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 1
GRI
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
WYC
2 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |