Notts County vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1983 |
WHU
2 - 0
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NOT
1 - 0
BHA
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
NTT
2 - 1
NOT
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
NOT
1 - 1
LUT
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
IPS
0 - 0
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1983 |
TOT
2 - 0
MUD
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1983 |
MUD
3 - 0
LUT
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
MUD
2 - 1
SWA
67%
20%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 0
MUD
39%
27%
33%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NOR
1 - 1
MUD
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |