Notts County vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
EVE
2 - 0
NOT
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
NOT
1 - 1
SUN
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 1
NOT
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 2
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 1
PNE
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
TOT
2 - 2
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 1
NOT
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 0
BCF
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRA
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |