Notts County vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
13%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHL
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
SHE
0 - 1
NOT
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
LIV
6 - 0
NOT
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
MUD
2 - 1
BRI
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
SHW
2 - 0
MUD
53%
22%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 2
ARS
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
SUN
1 - 2
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 3
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |