Notts County vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
SHE
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
MAC
4 - 1
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
NOT
3 - 1
SHW
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
SHW
0 - 0
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 1
NOT
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
MAC
4 - 1
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
BOL
6 - 2
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
MAC
1 - 4
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
MAC
3 - 1
OLD
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
SHE
3 - 1
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |