Notts County vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 3
NOT
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 1
OLD
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
MID
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 2
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
MAC
4 - 0
SHW
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
TOT
0 - 2
MAC
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
BBU
2 - 0
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |