Notts County vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
3 - 1
ARS
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
BRA
2 - 3
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
3 - 2
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 2
NOT
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 0
SHE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
MID
3 - 1
MAC
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 0
BCF
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
SHW
3 - 0
MAC
71%
16%
12%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
MAC
3 - 0
BBU
44%
24%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 1
MAC
81%
12%
8%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |