Notts County vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
MID
1 - 2
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 4
NEW
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
NOT
1 - 0
SHW
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
MAC
2 - 2
ARS
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
EVE
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
MUD
3 - 1
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 3
BRA
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
BBU
3 - 2
MAC
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |