Notts County vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
42.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
BCF
3 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
NOT
2 - 2
SHW
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
MAC
0 - 1
BRI
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
LIV
5 - 4
MAC
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
MAC
4 - 2
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 1
PNE
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |