Notts County vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
NOT
3 - 0
HIS
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOT
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
STA
0 - 2
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 1
WRE
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
NOT
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
RUS
3 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
5 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 2
BCF
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
STA
3 - 2
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |