Notts County vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
MAC
2 - 0
NOT
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
NOT
1 - 3
SHE
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
NOR
0 - 1
NOT
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
NOT
1 - 0
COV
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1992 |
NOT
0 - 2
TOT
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
LUT
2 - 0
ASV
34%
30%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
QPR
2 - 1
LUT
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
LUT
1 - 1
MUD
20%
28%
52%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1992 |
LUT
2 - 1
NTT
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
OLD
5 - 1
LUT
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |