Notts County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1914 |
SHE
1 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
NOT
5 - 1
MID
44%
25%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
MID
1 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOT
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
NOT
1 - 2
TOT
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
LIV
1 - 1
MUD
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
BOL
0 - 1
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
LIV
1 - 2
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
BRA
1 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |