Notts County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 3
NOT
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
NOT
2 - 1
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 1
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
TOT
1 - 3
NOT
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 1
BCF
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
LIV
2 - 0
PNE
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
TOT
1 - 0
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
LIV
2 - 2
BCF
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
BRI
0 - 1
LIV
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
LIV
3 - 1
SHW
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |