Notts County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 0
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
NOT
3 - 2
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
PNE
0 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRI
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 0
NOT
78%
14%
7%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
LIV
2 - 2
ARS
69%
17%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
LEI
3 - 2
LIV
37%
24%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
LIV
0 - 1
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1908 |
NTT
5 - 1
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
MUD
3 - 2
LIV
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |