Notts County vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 0
NOT
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 0
OXF
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BRO
1 - 2
NOT
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 2
MAN
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 1
NOT
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LEY
1 - 0
WYC
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
RUS
1 - 0
LEY
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LEY
1 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
STF
3 - 3
LEY
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
LEY
0 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |