Notts County vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1951 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAC
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
HUL
1 - 0
NOT
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
NOT
3 - 2
SWA
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
WHU
4 - 2
NOT
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
NOT
0 - 0
LEE
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEI
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
LEI
3 - 1
SOU
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
BBU
1 - 0
LEI
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
LEI
1 - 2
BRE
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
LEE
2 - 1
LEI
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |