Notts County vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 0
SUN
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 2
BCF
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
42%
24%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
SHE
3 - 2
NOT
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
LEI
2 - 4
BBU
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
4 - 2
ASV
30%
23%
47%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
4 - 3
SUN
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
3 - 1
MAC
31%
23%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
SHE
2 - 1
LEI
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |